Gold Shock Coming March 18?
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently told Fortune gold could "easily" hit $10,000.
Combined with the uncertainty we've seen in 2026 - tariffs, war, a shaky dollar - the case for gold has never been stronger.
But here's the uncomfortable truth: Most people will run out and buy bullion or mining stocks... and miss the biggest gains entirely.
You see, there's an overlooked gold strategy almost no one talks about.
It has nothing to do with owning physical metals, gold ETFs, or even traditional miners.
And yet in one historic period, it turned every $5,000 invested into more than $1.6 million.
One mysterious buyer is quietly hoarding gold at the fastest pace in 55 years.
So I urge you to get the full story right away...
Click here to see our full March 18 gold prediction - right here - absolutely FREE.
Regards,
Matt Weinschenk
Director of Research, Stansberry Research
P.S. Nobody's talking about it yet... but we believe this is the No. 1 gold play to own before March 18, and you can get started with less than $50.
Microsoft Is Sliding—An Insider Buy and Oversold Signals Are Changing the Setup
Authored by Chris Markoch. Publication Date: 2/24/2026.
Key Points
- Microsoft’s sharp decline reflects investor anxiety over heavy AI infrastructure spending, but the company continues to fund expansion with strong free cash flow.
- Concerns that AI could disrupt traditional software models overlook how Microsoft is embedding Copilot into its ecosystem and charging premium pricing.
- With insider buying emerging and valuation compressing to more typical levels, the sell-off may signal exhaustion rather than structural weakness.
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It's been another week of relative misery for Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) shareholders. For the week of Feb. 16–20, MSFT stock fell 3.28%, continuing the stock's run of lackluster performance. MSFT stock is:
- Down 17.05% in the 30 days ending Feb. 20.
- Down 20.08% year-to-date.
- Down 18.14% in the last three months.
All of that leaves Microsoft negative 5.3% over the past 12 months — a fall from grace many investors didn't expect.
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However, pullbacks like this in a blue‑chip name such as Microsoft can present buying opportunities. That may be the case: one of the company's insiders recently made a meaningful purchase of MSFT stock.
John W. Stanton, a Microsoft director, purchased 5,000 shares of the company's stock on Feb. 18. Insiders typically buy because they believe the stock is undervalued. One purchase doesn't make a trend, but it adds a data point to the case that MSFT shares could be oversold.
By now, the reasons for the pullback are familiar. In some ways, Microsoft checks many boxes for investors looking to sell technology stocks:
- The company is one of the leading hyperscalers and has committed billions in capital expenditures (CapEx) to build out its AI infrastructure (i.e., datacenters).
- Microsoft is in the crosshairs of the "AI will eat software" sell-off.
- Analysts are questioning the return on investment for the company's investment in OpenAI.
All of these concerns deserve a balanced look to put the MSFT sell-off into proper context.
Hyperscaler CapEx Concerns
Microsoft is one of the "big three" hyperscalers, alongside Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL). In Q2 fiscal 2026, Microsoft spent $37.5 billion in CapEx.
This level of spending, which isn't expected to decline, fuels investor concern about how long it will take to generate returns that justify the outlay. Rising energy costs, long construction timelines, and uncertainty about whether AI demand will scale quickly enough to absorb the added capacity compound that worry.
It's worth noting Microsoft is funding much of this CapEx with cash on hand. Despite heavy spending, Evercore ISI recently forecast that among the hyperscalers, only Microsoft will generate positive free cash flow this fiscal year.
The takeaway: Microsoft's underlying business remains profitable enough to fund expansion without bleeding cash. That supports the company's position that much of the AI spending is intended to meet contracted customer commitments rather than speculative capacity building.
The "AI Will Eat Software" Threat
Microsoft's core is software: Windows, Office, and related licensing drive a large share of its annual recurring revenue (ARR). The rise of agentic AI has some analysts questioning the long-term viability of that licensing model — and whether AI could ultimately cannibalize previously lucrative lines of business.
But that view assumes Microsoft is a passive observer. The reality is more nuanced. Copilot, Microsoft's agentic AI tool, is already integrated across the Microsoft 365 suite, which allows the company to layer new revenue onto existing revenue and command premium per-seat pricing.
In practice, enterprise customers are not abandoning Microsoft's ecosystem; many are paying more to access AI capabilities within that ecosystem. That dynamic helps protect and potentially expand Microsoft's monetization of its installed base.
The OpenAI Investment Under the Microscope
Microsoft has invested an estimated $13 billion into OpenAI. That made strategic sense when OpenAI led the AI frontier, but the competitive landscape has become more complex.
The emergence of rivals like DeepSeek has shown capable AI models can be developed at far lower cost, raising questions about whether OpenAI's technological moat is as durable as once assumed.
There is also structural awkwardness in the partnership: OpenAI pursues its own commercial relationships and ambitions that don't always align perfectly with Microsoft's. Analysts are asking whether Microsoft is getting a fair financial return relative to what it might have achieved by building in-house or partnering differently.
However, viewing the OpenAI investment solely as a financial bet misses key strategic benefits. Microsoft has secured deep integration rights, model access, and the ability to embed a highly recognized AI brand into its products. It has also continued developing in-house models in parallel, so it is not wholly dependent on OpenAI. The arrangement effectively bought Microsoft a two- to three-year head start in enterprise AI adoption that competitors cannot easily replicate.
Selling May Be Nearing Exhaustion
There's no getting around it: the MSFT chart looks ugly. The stock has been in a steady downtrend since November 2025 and is within about 10% of giving back all the gains from the rally that began in late April 2025.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving into oversold territory, and momentum indicators such as daily volume and the MACD suggest selling pressure may be easing.
That said, this is a headline-driven market and there could be more downside for MSFT. Still, with the stock down almost 30% from its all-time high and trading at roughly 24x earnings, this pullback may represent a buying opportunity.
After Cooling Off, On Holding May Be Ready to Sprint Higher
Authored by Thomas Hughes. Publication Date: 3/6/2026.
Key Points
- On Holding’s Q4 2025 results showed strong, broad-based growth across channels, categories, and regions.
- Fiscal 2026 guidance came in light, but analysts largely view it as conservative and still expect outperformance.
- Analyst sentiment and institutional activity suggest support near key technical levels and potential upside.
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On Holding's (NYSE: ONON) share price has struggled amid fears of slowing growth, valuation concerns, and the impact of tariffs, but the selling appears to be ending. Q4 2025 results were strong, with growth holding across channels and categories. Although 2026 guidance came in below consensus, the company still forecasts a robust year and analysts expect outperformance.
Analysts' reactions suggest the guidance miss may be deliberate; the company often sets conservative targets and then exceeds them. On Holding expects to sustain a 20%+ growth pace in the coming year, driven by strength across segments and retail categories.
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The impact on sentiment was minimal. Data from MarketBeat shows coverage has risen and sentiment has firmed, with 25 analysts covering the stock and an 84% Buy-side bias toward the Moderate Buy rating. The consensus price target remains bullish despite March revisions, implying roughly 40% upside from a key long-term exponential moving average near $41.30, which has acted as support in prior periods.
Support is evident in analysts' trends and institutional activity. Coverage, price targets and institutional holdings have climbed together; institutions accumulated ONON in three of four quarters in 2025 and during the first two months of Q1 2026, increasing activity to record highs even as the share price retreated. That accumulation establishes a solid support base and a tailwind that could lift the stock over time. The timing of a rebound is uncertain and could arrive before midyear — the next obvious catalyst is Q1 2026 earnings in mid-May, assuming guidance proves conservative.
On Holding Tanks on Robust Results and Growth Outlook
On Holding's Q4 was as solid as they come, with revenue up approximately 34%, slightly ahead of consensus. Strength was driven by a 31% increase in wholesale and a 30% increase in higher-margin direct-to-consumer (DTC), underpinned by 21% growth in core shoe sales, 38% in apparel and 117% in accessories. Regionally, Asia-Pacific (APAC) was the strongest, up 85%, followed by a 21.3% increase in the Americas, while EMEA rose a tepid 2.5%.
Margin news was mixed but ultimately constructive for investors. Net income margin declined more than expected due to aggressive investment and foreign-exchange (FX) headwinds, but this was offset by record gross margins and a 31.8% increase in EBITDA. The share-price drop in early March largely reflected disappointment that guidance missed expectations and renewed fears of slowing growth and margin plateaus in retail.
On Holding Builds Value for Investors
There are no red flags on On Holding's balance sheet. The company is well-capitalized and holds net cash versus debt. Shareholders' equity rose 17% in 2025 and is expected to grow further. On has not yet returned capital to investors, preferring to reinvest in growth, but it appears positioned to begin returning capital in the coming years.
Catalysts in 2026 include strong apparel sales, which support growth, revenue durability and margins; a continued emphasis on DTC; and improving brand awareness. On engages top athletes and leverages its premium positioning to tell targeted stories that motivate consumers. DTC is a double-edged sword — it can drive growth and margin while straining wholesale relationships, as Nike's (NYSE: NKE) example shows. Other risks include FX headwinds and the potential for slower growth.
Price action has been mixed since the release: an initial sharp drop spurred buying, and trading has since met resistance near the short-term 30-day exponential moving average (EMA), which may cap near-term gains. Over the long term, ONON appears positioned to rebound and could accelerate higher once momentum resumes.
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