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Sandisk's Swings Are Getting Bigger—Here's How to Play Them
Reported by Sam Quirke. Publication Date: 2/5/2026.
Article Highlights
- Shares of Sandisk have surged almost 150% since the start of January. At one point, it was up almost 1,800% over the past year.
- This comes with increased volatility, however, as recent sessions have seen intraday swings of around 20%.
- With momentum still strong but technicals clearly overheated, February is about positioning, not chasing.
After its biggest intraday drop in months was immediately followed by its biggest intraday gain, Sandisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has clearly entered a new phase of price action. The stock had already been named one of the standout winners of 2025 before adding nearly 200% in the first few weeks of 2026. At one point, it was up roughly 1,800% since its spinoff from Western Digital.
Those kinds of gains rarely come quietly or in a straight line.
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Instead, they tend to produce violent swings, shifting investor confidence and rapid sentiment changes—often within days. All of that has been on display in recent sessions.
The Jan. 30 intraday drop of about 20% was followed the next trading day by nearly a 25% gain, a reminder that SNDK is now a stock that demands an iron stomach.
As we head further into February, the question for investors is not whether Sandisk has an attractive long-term story—it clearly does—but how best to leverage this volatility to an advantage.
Why the Bull Case Is So Strong
Before getting tactical, it's important to understand why buyers are so aggressive on dips in SNDK. Since spinning out from Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ: WDC) last year, Sandisk has quickly become one of Wall Street's favorite growth stories.
The appeal is straightforward: the company has broad exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), has posted impressively high margins recently, and demand for its storage products is viewed as less cyclical than much of the broader semiconductor sector. That combination is rare in today's equity market.
Those themes were reinforced by last week's earnings report, which beat analyst expectations across the board. Revenue surged more than 60% year over year, earnings came in well ahead of forecasts, and forward guidance stunned the market—fiscal third-quarter adjusted EPS is now expected between $12 and $14, versus prior expectations nearer $5. That level of optimism helps explain why the Jan. 30 selloff was quickly absorbed and followed by fresh highs.
That tailwind is also why Sandisk should continue to attract buyers even if significant downswings materialize. It's the right company, in the right place, at the right time.
Why Volatility Is Likely to Remain
As compelling as the fundamentals are, the technical setup almost guarantees more turbulence. Sandisk's relative strength index (RSI), for example, is approaching 90—a level that signals extreme overheating.
That doesn't mean the stock can't go higher in 2026—it certainly could. What it does mean is that sharp pullbacks and bursts of profit-taking, some lasting only a few days or weeks, should be expected. No stock, however strong the story, moves in a straight line indefinitely.
With earnings now out of the way and near-term uncertainty reduced, the market is in the process of repricing Sandisk's long-term potential to the upside. The risk is that a sudden selloff—company- or market-specific—gathers momentum and spooks investors who bought near recent highs, briefly turning a dip into something more uncomfortable.
2 Ways to Play the Volatility Through February
One sensible approach is patience. Wait for a pullback and be prepared to act decisively when it arrives. Given the strength of the recent earnings report and the clear appetite to buy weakness, any dip can be viewed as an opportunity rather than an immediate warning sign. The danger, of course, is committing too much too early if a pullback deepens before stabilizing.
The second approach is to respect the momentum. Build a smaller position into the current strength and plan to add on future dips, rather than trying to time a perfect entry. This strategy suits investors comfortable holding through large swings who believe the stock will be materially higher a year from now despite near-term volatility.
Recent analyst commentary reinforces that longer-term confidence. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its bullish stance last week with an $800 price target, and UBS followed this week with a $1,000 target. With the stock still trading below $700, those targets imply meaningful upside even after the extraordinary rally—investors simply have to be ready to take the lows with the highs.
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