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Further Reading from MarketBeat.com
Capital One Stock Weak After Earnings, Brex Deal in Focus
Submitted by Chris Markoch. Originally Published: 1/29/2026.

Key Points
- Capital One stock fell 6% after earnings despite revenue beating expectations.
- The Brex deal expands Capital One’s payments strategy but adds near-term risk.
- Technical indicators suggest COF may be forming a buy-the-dip setup.
Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) stock is down roughly 6% one week after the bank's earnings report on Jan. 22. For the fourth quarter of 2025, the company reported $15.62 billion in revenue, beating expectations of $15.49 billion. However, the bottom line missed, with earnings per share of $3.86 versus estimates of $4.14.
From a valuation standpoint, the selloff in COF stock appears understandable. Even after the drop, Capital One trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 74x — a significant premium to its historical average and well above the sector average for financial stocks.
Still, both top- and bottom-line results improved year-over-year: earnings per share rose 24% and revenue increased 53% from the prior year.
That suggests Capital One is in an expansion phase that could continue into 2026. Some investors felt that growth was already priced into COF heading into earnings, but another potential catalyst may be at work.
Capital One to Acquire Brex
As part of its earnings release, Capital One announced it would purchase Brex Inc., a privately held financial services and payments startup, for $5.15 billion. The deal will be paid 50% in stock and 50% in cash and is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026.
Brex provides financial services that help companies manage corporate credit cards, expenses, and rewards.
The firm primarily targets startups and other businesses that can struggle to get attention from traditional providers like American Express (NYSE: AXP).
With customers that include Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) and Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC), Brex has amassed more than $13 billion in deposits.
According to CEO Richard Fairbank, the deal is part of the company's long-term plan "to build a payments company that sits at the frontier of the technology revolution."
Acquiring — rather than partnering with — Brex distinguishes Capital One's approach from the strategies other banks are using to compete with nimble fintechs.
The Deal Is Not Without Risk
Investors may worry about the company's growing appetite for acquisitions. The Brex deal comes less than a year after Capital One's purchase of Discover Financial for $35 billion.
Notably, the acquisition could give Capital One additional scale to compete with Visa (NYSE: V) and Mastercard (NYSE: MA), and it appears unlikely to materially change the company's debt outlook.
At the same time, if execution became more important after the Discover acquisition, it is even more critical now. Brex reached its peak valuation in 2023 due to deposits from many technology companies that fled Silicon Valley Bank. Since then, rising interest rates have reduced demand, allowing Capital One to buy Brex for less than half its peak valuation.
COF Stock Looks Like an Attractive Buy-the-Dip Candidate
The post-earnings price action in COF looks like a case of investors selling first and asking questions later. The stock is trading within roughly 10% of its 60-day low, a level that has acted as support over the past six months.
Analysts' consensus price target is $274.70, about 24% above the stock's current price. Importantly, momentum indicators like the MACD and the relative strength index (RSI) suggest the stock may be bouncing from oversold territory.

Investors may consider buying on dips below the company's current 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which has acted as a key resistance level over the last six months.
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