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NVIDIA Analysts Say Buy Ahead of Q4 Earnings, With Conviction
Submitted by Thomas Hughes. Publication Date: 2/16/2026.
Quick Look
- NVIDIA analysts are robustly bullish ahead of the Q4 2025 earnings report.
- A convergence of factors suggests this stock could rise by 100% to 200% over the next few years.
- Catalysts include the Q4 release, 2026 guidance, and the GTC developer conference.
If you are wondering whether NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is a buy ahead of its Q4 2025 earnings release, the odds look favorable. Analyst sentiment, institutional activity, valuation, and technical indicators suggest this stock rally is roughly halfway over.
NVIDIA could climb from the $180 level to well over $360, and potentially to $520 or higher over time. The near-term catalysts include Q4 results, due in late February and likely to be strong, and the annual GTC developer conference in mid-March, which is expected to drive stock prices industry-wide.
Analyst Trends: NVIDIA as a Deep-Value Opportunity
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Despite growth and margin concerns, analyst trends point to a robustly bullish posture and a deep-value opportunity for NVIDIA investors. MarketBeat's data shows coverage expanding over the trailing 12 months to 52 analysts, who rate the stock as a Buy with a 96% Buy-rating bias and a consensus price target implying roughly 45% upside.
That 45% upside is meaningful, but recent price target increases and above-consensus initiations suggest the potential for moves toward the high end of the range. A move to $352 would represent approximately 95% upside for investors and is unlikely to be the end of this trend.
Recent commentary from GF Securities and UBS highlights catalysts and favorable setup ahead of GTC. GF Securities is focused on potential announcements around co-packaged optics, a rack-scale language processing solution, and other hardware updates. UBS is bullish on the pre-release setup, citing supportive supply-chain checks, lingering market doubts despite optimistic management, and relatively tepid stock price action in recent months.
NVIDIA Stock Is Wound Up and Ready to Advance in Early 2026
The technical setup is constructive. NVIDIA's price has been consolidating and has formed a Bullish Pennant Pattern — a consolidation and potential continuation signal within a longer-term uptrend. If confirmed, the typical implication is an advance roughly equal to the preceding rally on the low end, and a percentage move comparable to the prior rally on the high end. In this case, that translates to a move on the order of approximately $90 (about 50% upside) to as much as 100% at the high end. 
The technical picture is reinforced by the valuation outlook. NVIDIA commands a premium to current-year earnings because of its growth profile, but the market may not yet be pricing in its full long-term potential. At present, NVIDIA trades at under 10x its 2035 forecasted earnings, which, if realized, suggests the stock could rise 100% to more than 200% over that timeframe.
A 100% advance would align NVIDIA's 2035 valuation with the broad market average on a current-year earnings basis. If the company retains a blue-chip tech premium, it could trade above 30x 2035 earnings, implying a roughly 200% price advance by that year.
Institutions Aggressively Accumulate NVIDIA in Early Q1 2026
Institutional ownership data from MarketBeat shows institutions aggressively accumulating NVIDIA. Institutions own about 65% of the shares. On a trailing 12-month basis, they have bought roughly $3.50 for every $1 sold and ramped activity to more than $4.50 to $1 in early 2026. That buying provides a solid support base on pullbacks, limiting downside while supplying a tailwind for any rally. Given this backdrop, NVIDIA is likely to trade within its range until one of the catalysts arrives — which could be only a few weeks away.
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